Investment Articles

Investors are increasingly forced to choose from a proliferation of investment options. They also have to deal with contradictory advice on how to achieve their financial goals and how to invest the savings they have accumulated during their lifetime. If you consider that there are more than 7 000 mutual funds available in the United States alone, and thousands of insurance products worldwide, making the choice that will satisfy them ever after is daunting, to say the least.

No wonder people so often ask the rather general question: Which investment is best? The first part of the answer is easy: No single investment is ‘the best’ under all circumstances for all investors. Personal circumstances, goals and different people’s needs differ, as do the characteristics of different investments. Secondly, one asset class’s strength in certain circumstances could be another’s weakness. It is therefore important to compare investments according to relevant criteria. The art is to find the appropriate investment for each objective and need.

The following are the most important criteria:

the goal of the investment
the risk the investor can handle
liquidity required
taxability of the investment
the period until the financial goal is reached
last but not least, the cost of the investment.

THE GOAL

Goals determine the characteristics sought in an investment. You will be in a position to choose the most appropriate investment only when you have decided on your short-, medium- and long-term goals. The following generic goals are normally involved:

Emergency fund

Emergency fund money should be readily available when needed, and the value of the fund should be equal to about six months’ income. Money market funds are excellent for this purpose. While these funds do not perform much higher than inflation, their benefit is that capital is saved and is easily accessible.

If you already have a ready emergency fund covering more than six months’ income, you could consider a more aggressive mutual fund

Capital protection

If your primary aim is capital protection, you will have to be satisfied with a lower growth rate on the investment. Those above 50 are normally advised to be conservative in their investment approach. While this may for the most part be sound advice, you should also keep an eye on the risk of inflation, so that the purchasing power of your money does not depreciate. It is not the nominal value of the capital that should be protected, but the inflation-adjusted one. At an annual inflation rate of 6%, $1 million today will buy the same as $156 255 in 30 years’ time. A 50 year-old with %1 million would therefore have to lower his living standard substantially if he only retains the &1 million until he was 80.

Income

Conservative investments like those listed above should form the normal basis for providing an income. Because of inflation risk, investments should be structured so that they can at least keep up with inflation. This means that at least a percentage of the investment source providing the income should be made up of other asset classes like property and equity mutual funds. The percentage would differ according to individual and economic circumstances.

Investors fortunate enough to have their basic budget provided for by a conservative fund could consider increasing their income with commercial property funds and tax-free income from dividends paid out by listed shares.

Capital growth

If an investor’s primary goal is to achieve capital growth, the real rate of return should be higher than inflation. This implies greater risk to capital in the short term. Investors aiming at capital growth should not be apprehensive, as they will reap the rewards in the long term.

The history of equity prices over the past 100 years proves equity investments to be the best performer, followed by property. This does not mean you should buy either of these investments blindfolded. Wait until the quality shares in which you are interested are trading at inexpensive price levels.

RISK

The investment with a history of the highest growth is not necessarily the one to choose. The Standard Bank’s Gold Fund increased by 178% during the period 13 August 2001 – 24 May 2002 (284 days). Judging only on the growth of the fund during this period, it performed exceptionally well. But would it be the right investment for a retiree? During the 805 days following this, the same fund experienced a negative growth rate of 44%! The problem with an investment that decreases by this percentage is that it will not reach its previous peak by increasing again by 44%. This is because the growth this time will take place from a lower base, so in fact the investment would have to increase by approximately 80%.

LIQUIDITY

Hard assets like Persian carpets, works of art and antique furniture may be good investments in the long term, but unfortunately they are not very liquid. The same is true of certain shares in smaller companies. Money market funds, on the other hand, are very liquid, but the returns may not always be as good as those from other investments. The need to liquidise the investment quickly is therefore also a criterion to consider when evaluating investments.

TAXABILITY

The taxability of an investment has a considerable impact on its value to the investor. When comparing the returns on different investments, the return after tax has been deducted should be used. The investor should always ask what will be left in his pocket after tax deduction.

PERIOD

Conservative investments with no potential for high returns are suitable for shorter periods, while investment-objectives with longer time horizons aspire to achieving higher returns. Money market funds are suitable for periods of one or two years. Income and conservative asset allocation funds for three or four years and flexible asset allocation funds, commercial property funds and value equity funds may be chosen for longer periods, dependent on the economic and interest cycle and the propensity of the investor to accept risk.

COSTS

The costs involved in an investment are normally things like administrative cost and commission. The percentage of the costs to the investment amount directly affects the value of the investment. Many of the currently available investment products are structured in such a way that investors can negotiate commission.

CONCLUSION

No investment strategy blueprint is going to be perfect for everyone’s circumstances. Investment opportunities should therefore be examined critically before any decision is made. It should also be kept in mind that there are different companies managing specific funds under the investment categories referred to above. Some are more effectively managed than others. Investors should therefore research investments as well as the managers thoroughly before investing. Otherwise, they could appoint professional asset managers to do so on their behalf. Time spent determining the type of investment you really need is time invested in your future financial well-being.

Dr. Manus Moolman has done extensive research on the issues of investing and wealth creation. He is dedicated to assist anyone, from laymen to professional traders, to invest successfully and become rich.

Want to contact him? Then please visit his website at: http://www.myebroker.info/.

The investment performance of the agriculture sector can be monitored via a number of devices and measures that track the performance of traditional investment assets such as quoted equities, as well as a range of measures that reflect price movements in alternative investment assets within the agriculture space such as farmland.

In reality, the agriculture sector as a whole relies on a combination of demand for its products, weighed against agricultural productivity. When demand for food, livestock feed and biofuels is high then soft-commodity prices rise, as is also the case when poor productivity creates the same widening of the gap between supply and demand. On the other hand, if demand falls back, or bumper harvests create an oversupply of produce, prices fall.

If one is able to gain an understanding of current productivity and demand dynamics, then one is best able to predict the true performance of the sector as a whole.

The performance of agricultural equities alone – as measured by agricultural indices – does not truly reflect the state of fundamentals that support the sector. In many cases, individual issues that affect specific companies can either boost or lessen demand for the stock resulting in movement in the stock price regardless of the performance of the sector as a whole.

Indeed, many consider that the most efficient method of capturing financial gains resultant of the boom in demand for commodities from a population that is growing exponentially is to acquire farmland as an investment. The value of farmland is driven at the most fundamental level by the net revenue earning capability of the individual asset in question. As an example; a one hectare lot capable of generating a net annual income after costs of £1,000, will be worth more to a Farmer than a similar plot capable of earning only £500.

Farmland values are recorded by different indices in different regions. In the U.S. the National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) records the quarterly investment performance of farmland. In the UK the Land Registry offers the most accurate picture, although anecdotal evidence from estate agents such as Knight Frank offer some insight, although on a very broad, national basis.

Agricultural equity indices include Standard and Poors GSCI Agriculture Index; S-Network ITG Agriculture Index; Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index and Société Générale Index Global Agriculture, all of which provide a different viewpoint as they measure a different set of equities or commodities and use different weightings.

Overall, agriculture investments can best be assessed individually, and conclusions drawn as to the potential for each project as a standalone entity, be it an equity investments or acquisition of tangible assets. Investing in any business should not be simply because it operates in a particular sector, farmland should not just be bought simply for its agricultural status, and alternative investments are not going to be profitable just because they are alternative.

DGC Asset Management are an alternative investment consultancy providing Investors with research, due diligence and select opportunities to participate in the acquisition and development of productive, income producing agricultural property and renewable energy assets.

If you want to build a secure financial future that making an investment is an excellent place to start. By learning how to create a diverse portfolio you will be set for the future. However, for beginners it can seem like a confusing, complicated and scary business. So many people are put off investing because they think they are risking losing all their money because they simply do not understand the process.

When you first decide to invest there is whole load of information you need to have under your hat. To be honest it is always best to consult a professional, but even if you choose to do this there are some basics you will need to know, otherwise you have no hope of making a wise investment for the future.

Investments are a balancing act between risk and the prospect of making money. There are choices out there, for the more daring and the more conservative. Investments of any kind involve some sort of risk, but then so do having a bank account! Here is the information you will need to know to get started:

Stock And Bonds

These are the two commonest forms of investments, particularly for beginners. Stocks are something called equity investments and involve a good deal more risk than bonds. Bonds however offer a lower yield than stocks. This isn’t always true but it is the general rule. You can invest in bonds with less knowledge than stocks, as they are more stable and safer.

Mutual Funds

Mutual funds are the way to go for investments for beginners. If you don’t have to money to create your own portfolio, then you can buy into existing mutual funds. There are so many benefits to this type of investing, such as that a professional manages them, so this takes a lot of the pressure out of your hands. You will also learn from it.

Certificates of Deposit

Certificates of Deposit also referred to, as “Cd’s” are an excellent choice for investments for beginners. These work by investing some money with a guarantee that you will receive a certain amount back. You cannot access your CDs for a set amount of time, which means that the interest rates are sky high. This time can be anywhere, from months to years.

Unfortunately you’ll have to have a decent amount of money to invest, as there is a minimum purchase.

These options listed above are not the only investments for beginners. There are other options that may be appropriate for you. It depends greatly upon the amount of capital you have. It also rests on whether you want money in the short term or an investment for the future. Some investments are excellent as life-long investments, while if you want to make money quickly then you will have to take more risks.

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If you are like most people, your initial reaction to the question posed by the title to this white paper is “no.” However, for many investors, the answer is “yes.” With all of the investment options available today, many investors are intimidated, confused and frustrated by the investment process. Recent studies also support the suggestion that many investors are perfect targets for investment fraud or already are victims of investment fraud. For instance,

A recent study by Schwab Institutional found that 75% of investor portfolios were unsuitable for investors given their financial situation and goals;

A recent study by CEG Worldwide concluded that over 94% of those holding themselves out as wealth managers were more product salesman than wealth manager;

The 2010 IPT Elder Investor Fraud Survey reported that investment fraud is the number crime against the elderly, affecting an estimated 7.3 million older Americans, or one out of every five senior citizens. Since that number only counts the instances of fraud actually reported, the number of victims is undoubtedly higher.

One of the problems with avoiding investment fraud is the difficulty in detecting some types of fraud due to the subtleness or complexity of the fraud itself. Another problem with detecting fraud is the personal biases and beliefs that each investor has regarding investing. The purpose of this article is to alert investors to some of the more common elements of investment fraud so that investors can prevent unnecessary investment risk and financial loss due to investment fraud.

Fraud and Cognitive Biases

The common response to investment fraud is to call for greater investor education programs. However, a recent law review article in The Elder Law Journal suggests that investor education programs may be largely ineffective due to cognitive issues such as cognitive biases and/or cognitive deficits of investors. Cognitive biases are personal beliefs that impact our decisions. Cognitive deficits are impairments in mental ability, including impairments due to aging.

In the article, “Deception, Decisions and Investor Education,” the author, suggests a model of fraud victimization, which she refers to as the “deception/decision cycle.”1 As investors are provided with investment information, they filter the information through their personal beliefs, beliefs based upon a combination of actual experience, education and first impressions. An Investor’s beliefs, or biases, may or may not be accurate, but they can become so ingrained, or “anchored,” within a person that the person resists any conflicting information.

These biases may be strengthened even further by what are known as “truth” and “authority” biases, a person’s tendency to accept a statement as true, especially when the statement comes from someone with actual or perceived authority or expertise. The individual investor, whether because of issues such as cognitive biases/deficits, the complexity of the investment information of the sheer volume of such information, may fail to recognize the deception involved in the fraud.

Asset Allocation and Cognitive Biases

A perfect example of how cognitive biases can negatively impact investment decisions is a common misperception involving asset allocation. When you mention asset allocation or diversification to most investors, they think in terms of quantity rather than quality. Consequently, a large percentage of investors have portfolios that are diversified in terms of types and numbers of holdings within the portfolio, but the portfolios are not “effectively” diversified due to the high correlation of returns, or overlap, between the investments.

Portfolios that are not “effectively” diversified are sometimes referred to as being “pseudo” diversified since they appear to be diversified, but they do not actually provide an investor with the benefits of a truly diversified portfolio. The high correlation between the investments results in an investor having less downside protection than they would have with a truly diversified portfolio.

As an example, most people would consider a portfolio consisting of a large cap fund (IWB – iShares Russell 100 Index), a small cap fund (IWM – i Shares Russell 2000 Index), an international equity fund (EFA – iShares MSCI EAFE Index) and a bond fund (AGG – iShares Barclay Aggregate Bond Index), to be diversified since it consists of four different types of funds. A review of a correlation of returns matrix for a portfolio of the four exchange traded funds (ETFs) representing the four categories over the time period 8/31/2003 to 8/31/2011 tells a different story.

IWB/IWM – 0.93 IWB/EFA – 0.91 IWB/AGG – 0.05

IWM/EFA – 0.81 IWM/EFA – (0.03) EFA/AGG – 0.11

Analyzing rolling periods of returns often provides a better picture of trends and the persistence of trends. An analysis of rolling five year periods of returns for the referenced ETFs provides the following information:

2010-06

IWB/IWM – 0.966 IWB/EFA – 0.970 IWB/AGG – (0.308)

IWM/EFA – 0.896 IWM/AGG – (0.325) EFA/AGG – (0.432)

2009-05

IWB/IWM – 0.985 IWB/EFA – 0.991 IWB/AGG – (0.282)

IWM/EFA – 0.977 IWM/AGG – (0.338) EFA/AGG – (0.340)

2008-04

IWB/IWM – 0.967 IWB/EFA – 0.999 IWB/AGG – (0.445)

IWM/EFA – 0.973 IWM/AGG – (0.518) EFA/AGG – (0.4650

The higher the matrix number, the higher the correlation of returns and performance. A negative matrix number indicates a negative correlation of returns, which means that the two investments behave differently during various market conditions.

The matrix clearly shows a high correlation of returns between the large cap and the small cap ETF, and a high, albeit varying, correlation of returns between the international ETF and the large and small cap ETFs. The matrix clearly shows a low correlation of returns between the bond ETF and the other three ETFs. An argument can be made that a portfolio consisting only of the large cap ETF (IWB) and the bond ETF (AGG) would produce similar results.

Since fees and expenses are relatively low for most ETFs, cost is not that much an issue with a portfolio of ETFs. Since many financial advisers do not use index funds or ETFs in making recommendations, the negative impact of “pseudo” diversification can be seen in a portfolio of load-based mutual funds, again representing the four asset categories used in the ETF portfolio. The mutual funds represented are American Funds Growth Fund of America (large cap equity), Oppenheimer Discovery (small cap equity), Fidelity Worldwide (international) and PIMCO Total Return (bond).

2010-06

Am/Opp – 0.922 Am/Fid – 0.981 Am/PIMCO – 0.705

Opp/Fid – 0.948 Opp/PIMCO – 0.688 Fid/PIMCO – 0.597

2009-05

Am/Opp – 0.922 Am/Fid – 0.981 Am/PIMCO – 0.519

Opp/Fid – 0.948 Opp/PIMCO – 0.636 Fid/PIMCO – 0.451

2008-04

Am/Opp – 0.893 Am/Fid – 0.989 Am/PIMCO – 0.052

Opp/Fid – 0.935 Opp/PIMCO – 0.482 Fid/PIMCO – 0.148

The data shows the correlation of returns over rolling five-year periods in order to show not only the correlation of returns, but also the trend in correlation of returns. Once again, we see the same high correlation of returns between the equity-based mutual funds, with a lower correlation of returns between the bond fund and the equity-based funds that we saw with the ETF portfolio. The results are consistent with studies that have shown an increase in correlation of returns between equity-based investments over the past decade, especially during periods of increased volatility in the markets.

The correlation of returns matrix exposes the false illusion of diversification created by the bias of assessing diversification on the quantity of funds or types of funds alone. This bias is sometimes difficult to remove, as diversification based on quantity and type seems to make sense. Unfortunately, that is exactly what unscrupulous financial advisers are relying on, as they try to exploit the “truth” and “authority ” biases.

Portfolio Optimization and Cognitive Biases

If you have had an asset allocation plan or portfolio optimization plan prepared by your financial adviser, look at the plan and see if there is anything in the plan that gives you the projected risk, return or correlation of return data on the actual investment portfolio the financial adviser recommended to you. Investors rarely see such an analysis using the investor’s actual investments, primarily because the commercial asset allocation/ portfolio optimization programs used by most financial advisers are not designed to produce such a “real world” analysis. And yet, the calculations can be done using Microsoft Excel.

In many cases this failure to provide a “real world” portfolio analysis results in recommendation-implementation gaps, often leaving investors with portfolios significantly different from the asset allocation/portfolio optimization plan provided to them by their financial adviser, especially with regard to exposure to unnecessary investment risk.

The calculations required to calculate the projected risk, return and correlation of returns statistics for an investor’s actual investment portfolio are complex. Consequently, most investors are unable to calculate the actual portfolio’s statistics themselves or to otherwise detect an investment adviser’s fraudulent behavior.

Too often an investor falls prey to the “trust” bias or the “authority” bias and just accepts the plan given to them without questioning the accuracy of the plan or the failure to provide a “real world” analysis of the actual investment portfolio that their financial adviser recommended. But you should question your financial adviser and ignore any “trust” or “authority” biases, especially since the portfolio optimizers often produce recommendations that are counterintuitive and/or contrary to existing legal standards.

Some examples may help to prove my point. Two of the most important factors in constructing a suitable investment portfolio are the investor’s risk tolerance level and the investor’s investment time horizon. With that in mind, an experiment with two popular online asset allocation calculators provides some interesting results.

The first asset allocation calculator asked about risk tolerance, but did not even ask about investment time horizon. The regulators take the basic position that anyone with an investment time horizon less than five years should generally avoid equity-based investments since they might not have enough time to recover any losses suffered in the market. With the first calculator, we ran the same set of personal investment parameters, with the only exception being that we varied the risk tolerance level in each scenario. The results are shown in Appendix A.

Two clear issues emerge regarding investor protection. First, regardless of the investor’s risk tolerance level, the calculator recommends a portfolio consisting of approximately 60% equities and 40% bonds/cash. Second, the calculator completely ignores the “low” risk tolerance entry, exposing the risk averse investor to an undesired level of investment risk due to recommended equity allocations.

With the second asset allocation calculator, information was requested on both the investor’s risk tolerance level and the investor’s investment time horizon. Once again, the same set of personal investment parameters are used in each analysis, changing only the risk tolerance level and/or the investment time horizon. The results are shown in Appendix B.

If you accept the regulators’ position regarding a minimum five-year investment time horizon for equity investments, then the second calculator’s equity allocation for the 3-5 year time horizon is questionable, as it recommends a 30% allocation to equities for the low risk investor and a 45% allocation to equities for a moderate risk investor.

Expanding the time horizon out to 5-10 years, the low risk investor get the same portfolio recommendations that the 3-5 year time horizon/moderate risk investor got, which obviously raises questions. Strangely, the moderate risk investor with the 5-10 year time horizon receives a recommendation that increases the bond allocation to 65% and lowers the equity allocation to only 45%.

Increasing the investment time horizon to 10-20 years produces basically the same recommendation for both the low risk and moderate risk investor, with the recommended equity allocation only varying by 5 percentage points. The calculator appears to overweight the investment time horizon and basically ignore the low risk investor’s preference to avoid investment risk.

The last example is just further evidence that most asset allocation/portfolio optimization software programs are highly unstable and susceptible to mistakes, so much so that they have been criticized as “estimation-error maximizers” by industry expert Richard Michaud. Investors who wish to protect their financial security would do well to replace any “truth” and/or “authority” biases with a healthy dose of skepticism and a willingness to question their financial advisers.

Investment Fees and Expenses and Cognitive Biases

Investors look to their financial advisers for advice and generally defer to any recommendations provided by their adviser. Again, this is often the results of both the “truth” and the “authority” biases. Many financial advisers limit their investment recommendations to actively managed, commission-based products, which may not be in an investor’s best interests.

The negative impact of biases grows even deeper once the impact of fees and expenses is considered. Fees and expenses on index funds and ETFs are usually low since there is little or no active management of such investments. Fees and expenses on actively managed mutual funds can vary, with some even assessing annual fees and expenses in excess of 1.0% per year. Fees and expenses are important to investors since they reduce an investor’s return.

Assume that we have two funds, Fund A and Fund B, both with relatively similar performance returns. Fund A is an index fund/ETF. Fund B is an actively managed fund that has an R-squared rating of 93, which means that approximately 93% of Fund B’s return can be attributed to the performance of a benchmark index, in this case the index represented by Fund A. However, Fund B’s annual fees and expenses are 1.0% per year, while those of Fund A are 0.25% per year.

Since most of the return of Fund B can be attributed to an index rather than the contributions of active management, why would an investor pay three times more in annual fees and expenses for Fund B? Before investing in Fund B, it is useful to see just how beneficial the active management has been and exactly what the active management is effectively costing the investor.

One commonly used method for making such assessments is known as the active expense ratio. The active expense ratio was introduced by Professor Ross Miller, a finance professor at the State University of New York at Albany. Professor Miller basically compares a fund’s R-squared rating with the excess annual fees charged by the fund to determine a fund’s “effective” annual fees and expenses.

In our example, the active expense ratio calculates to an effective annual active expense ratio fee of 3.02% for the active management of the fund, a little over 200% higher than the stated fees and expenses. For the four mutual funds in our sample portfolio, the active expense ratios were as follows.

American Funds Growth

R-Squared – 98.34

Stated Expense Ratio – 0.69%

Active Expense Ratio – 4.44%

Oppenheimer Discovery

R-Squared – 93.43

Stated Expense Ratio – 1.34%

Active Expense Ratio – 4.63%

Fidelity Worldwide

R-Squared – 97.58

Stated Expense Ratio – 0.71%

Active Expense Ratio – 3.06%

PIMCO Total Return

R-Squared – 68.43

Stated Expense Ratio – 0.56%

Active Expense Ratio – 0.53%

There are those who may argue that the active expense ratio is misleading. However, when an actively managed fund derives most of its performance from an index and an investor can obtain that same index’s performance at a much lower cost, one has to question the wisdom of reducing one’s investment returns by paying “money for nothing” and reducing one’s investment returns. Why pay three times more for essentially the same results?

And yet investors do it every day, impacted by “truth” and “authority” biases they may not even be aware of. Some investors have no choice, as their company’s retirement plan may only offer actively managed, commissioned-based investment options as a result of their plan’s fiduciary being influenced by their own “truth” and “authority” biases. Armed with the knowledge of both these biases and active expense ratios, it would not be surprising to see both plan participants and plan fiduciaries act to provide more meaningful investment options within retirement plans.

Wealth Management and Cognitive Biases

“Anchoring” is one of the strongest cognitive biases and, with regard to investing and wealth management, one of the most potentially destructive influences on wealth preservation. Anchoring can be defined as a reluctance to retreat from existing beliefs and decisions and a resistance to even consider new or opposing information.

The difficulty with addressing anchoring bias can summed up with the observation from noted economist John Maynard Keynes that “the difficulty lies not so much in developing new ideas as in escaping from the old ones” and that “worldly wisdom teaches us that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.” Beliefs often become truths, regardless of whether such beliefs are valid, often resulting in unnecessary risk and financial loss.

A perfect example of the potential negative impact of anchoring can be seen in investors that adopt a buy-and-hold approach to wealth management, or, as buy-and-hold critics often refer to the strategy, the “buy, forget and regret” approach. It is interesting to note that the buy-and hold approach to wealth management is apparently derived from an ongoing misinterpretation of a famous financial study.

A 1986 study, commonly known as the Brinson-Hood-Beebower (BHB) study, concluded that approximately 94% of the variability of a portfolio’s returns was attributable to the portfolio’s asset allocation mix. The study made no representations whatsoever regarding the impact of asset allocation on a portfolio’s actual returns, only on the variability of a portfolio’s returns.

Nevertheless, financial advisers and investment companies misrepresent the study’s findings to support their buy-and-hold argument, claiming that all an investor has to do for investment success is to set up an appropriate initial asset allocation and maintain that allocation since the BHB study proved that asset allocation determines 94% of an investor’s returns. The problem is that many investors have read or heard this mantra so often that they have fallen prey to the “truth” and “authority” biases and the misrepresentations are now firmly anchored into their personal beliefs.

It is interesting to note that the buy-and-hold approach is not derived from the works of the early pioneers of wealth management, Nobel laureates Dr. Harry Markowitz, the father of Modern Portfolio Theory, and Dr. William Sharpe. In fact, Dr, Sharpe has recently stated that investors should change their asset allocation in response to changes in market values. A recent study by asset allocation expert Roger Ibbotson has rebuffed the buy-and-hold strategy, stating that active management and asset allocation have about the same impact on a portfolio’s performance.

There are many investment professionals who would argue that the buy-and-hold approach is fundamentally sound and does not constitute investment fraud. These professionals usually claim that anything other than a buy-and-hold approach, with an occasional rebalancing to restore the original asset allocation parameters, constitutes market timing, which is both costly and ineffective.

From a legal perspective, what buy-and-hold advocates fail to realize is that the buy-and-hold approach completely ignores the proven cyclical nature of the market and t the Prudent Investor Act, whose guidelines which are often used by regulatory bodies and the courts in determining questions of fraud and prudent fiduciary conduct. The Prudent Investor Act clearly states that a fiduciary should make changes in an investment portfolio when changes in the market or economy dictate such changes are necessary in order to protect the portfolio against unnecessary risk and losses.

The classic definition of market timing involves having all of one’s assets either in the market or out of the market. The potential tax implications and the difficulty in perfectly timing the stock make such a strategy practically impossible. Reallocating some of one’s resources to reduce risk exposure is not market timing, but smart, defensive investing.

Smart investors would do well to heed the advice of noted investor Ben Graham, who warned that “the essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of returns. Well managed portfolios start with this precept.” Various studies support Graham’s postion, with such studies documenting the fact that avoiding losses has a much greater impact than missing potential returns.

Many investors suffered unnecessary investment losses during the recent 2000-2002 and 2008 bear markets due to their cognitive biases regarding the buy-and-hold approach to investing and their refusal to objectively consider other investment approaches. Unfortunately, these same investors will likely continue to suffer unnecessary investment losses unless and until they recognize their cognitive biases and objectively examine their investment strategy. As George Santayana pointed out, those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

Conclusion

Investment fraud is a pervasive problem. While various statistics are often cited as evidence of the problem, the truth is that such numbers are only a small percentage of the actual cases of investment fraud, as many cases go unreported and many victims of investment fraud are unaware that they are victims due to the subtlety or complexity of the fraud itself.

An emerging theory of investment fraud is that investors are susceptible to investment fraud due to cognitive biases and/or cognitive deficits that impair their ability to properly analyze investment situations and the recommendations of their financial advisers. It is imperative that investors become aware of and overcome potentially harmful personal biases, such as “truth” bias, “authority” bias and anchoring, in order to properly analyze investment options and better protect their financial security.

© Copyright 2011, InvestSense, LLC. All rights reserved.

This article is for informational purposes only, and is not designed or intended to provide legal, investment, or other professional advice since such advice always requires consideration of individual circumstances. If legal, investment, or other professional assistance is needed, the services of an attorney or other professional adviser should be sought.

Notes

1. Jayne W. Barnard, “Deceptions, Decisions and Investor Education,” Elder Law Journal, Vol. 17, No. 2 (2010), 201.

APPENDIX A

Low Risk Portfolio

Investment Parameters > Age: 50 > Assets: $250,000 > Risk Tolerance: Low > Tax Bracket: 25% > Economic Outlook: Moderate > Income Needs: 4%

Recommended Allocation > Large Cap Equity – 23%, Midcap Equity – 13%, Small Cap Equity – 9%, Foreign Equity – 14%, Bonds – 23%, Municipal Bonds – 18%, Cash – 13%

Moderate Risk Portfolio

Investment Parameters > Age: 50 > Assets: $250,000 > Risk Tolerance: Moderate > Tax Bracket: 25% > Economic Outlook: Moderate > Income Needs: 4%

Recommended Allocation > Large Cap Equity – 21%, Midcap Equity – 14%, Small Cap Equity – 10%, Foreign Equity – 16%, Bonds – 26%, Municipal Bonds – 18%, Cash – 0%

High Risk Portfolio

Investment Parameters > Age: 50 > Assets: $250,000 > Risk Tolerance: High > Tax Bracket: 25% > Economic Outlook: Moderate > Income Needs: 4%

Recommended Allocation>Large Cap Equity – 20%, Midcap Equity – 16%, Small Cap Equity – 13%, Foreign Equity – 17%, Bonds – 24%, Municipal Bonds – 0%, Cash – 10%

APPENDIX B

3-5 Year Investment Time Horizon

Low Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 70%, Large Cap Equity – 15%, Small Cap Equity – 5%, Foreign Equity – 10%

Moderate Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 50%, Large Cap Equity – 25%, Small Cap Equity – 10%, Foreign Equity – 15%

High Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 60%, Large Cap Equity – 20%, Small Cap Equity – 10%, Foreign Equity – 10%

5-10 Year Investment Time Horizon

Low Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 50%, Large Cap Equity – 25%, Small Cap Equity – 10%, Foreign Equity – 15%

Moderate Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 65%, Large Cap Equity – 20%, Small Cap Equity – 5%, Foreign Equity – 10%

High Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 40%, Large Cap Equity – 30%, Small Cap Equity – ]15%, Foreign Equity – 15%

10-20 Year Investment Time Horizon

Low Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 30%, Large Cap Equity – 30%, Small Cap Equity – 20%, Foreign Equity – 20%

Moderate Risk Tolerance:Bonds – 25%, Large Cap Equity – 35%, Small Cap Equity – 20%, Foreign Equity – 20%

High Risk Tolerance: Bonds – 20%, Large Cap Equity – 40%, Small Cap Equity -20%, Foreign Equity – 20%

James W, Watkins, III is an attorney, a CFP® professional and an Accredited Wealth Management Adviser®. His areas of expertise include wealth preservation, asset protection, investment fraud and fiduciary law. He is CEO of InvestSense, LLC, a registered investment adviser firm located in Atlanta, Georgia. For additional articles and information, visit the company’s website, http://www.investsense.com. Mr. Watkins can be contacted at tawj3@yahoo.com, and followed on LinkedIn and on Twitter @InvestSense.

Making financial investments is one of the many things that you can do to take steps in ensuring a solid financial future. By creating a diverse portfolio, you can stand to reap the rewards of money well spent. The return on your investments can possibly change your financial situations. Yet, investments for beginners can be a little scary.

When you are just getting into the game of investing, there are a lot of things that you need to know. Most people do consult professionals but there are things you should research on your own. Investing money is not something that should be entered into wearing a blindfold. The more knowledge you are armed with, the better.

Investments for beginners can be tricky. You may be weary of the risks involved yet you must be comfortable with the fact that with some investments, loss is a risk. There are some low risk and risk free investments that can be made. You should learn in the beginning what your options are.

Stock and Bonds

Two of the most common investments for beginners are stocks and bonds. Stocks are equity investments and are relatively riskier than bonds. Bonds are debt investments. They are less risky but also yield a lower return. This rule isn’t always applicable since there are some bonds that are high risk and yield a large return.

Mutual Funds

When it comes to investments for beginners, one of the best ideas may be to create an investment portfolio. If you can’t afford to create your own, you can buy into an already existing one buy investing in mutual funds. There are many advantages to mutual funds. They offer diversification, they are extremely flexible and funds are managed by a professional. By purchasing small parts of stocks, bonds and various securities; you can work your way up to building your own portfolio.

CD’s

Certificates of Deposit, commonly known as “Cd’s” are also a top choice for beginners. With these, you invest a certain amount of money and you are guaranteed a return in a specific amount of time. The interest rates for Cd’s are higher because you cannot access the money until the CD has full matured. The maturity time can be anywhere from a few months to a few years. There is a high minimum investment required to purchase.

Stocks and bonds, mutual funds and Cd’s are not the only investment options for beginners. There are other securities that may interest you depending on how much money you can put into your initial investment. You should research all of your options and seek counsel before you make any choices. The final decision is yours and should be made wisely.

Think about if you are looking to see a return in the near future or if you are willing to wait some time to reap larger rewards. Investments for beginners are relatively the same as investments for everyone else. There is money that has to be spent and risk that will most definitely be taken.

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The secondary market, is the financial market where dealings for the exchange of already issued securities and other instruments of financial nature like stock, options, bonds, and futures are done. This market is often referred as the after market. Another functions of “secondary market” is to refer to those loans which are sold by a mortgage institutes to various investors. Moreover, the term “secondary market” can also be deemed for the market for any used asset, or for some substitute usage of an existing item or asset where the customer base is the second market.

In the scenario of private equity, the secondary market, which is also known as private equity secondaries or secondaries deals with sale and purchase of pre existing investor commitments towards private equity funds. The investors who are interested in selling private equity investments can sale not only the current amount invested in the fund but also their residual non funded contracts of the funds.

The existence of secondary markets is very imperative for the smooth and efficient working of capital market. The secondary market facilitate the parties sale purchase and easily and transfer the securities from one investor dealer or speculator to another. Due to this reason,the liquidity of the market is very critical. Basically, the only method to form this liquidity was for investors and speculators to gather at a specific place on regular basis. As a rule of thumb, more the number of investors present for contributing and dealing in a certain marketplace, and the more the market place will be centralized, and ultimately the more liquidity will be in the market.

Basically, secondary markets are the source of interconnecting the investor’s inclination towards the liquidity. In simpler words the investor does not want to bound his or her money for a longer span, because he may need the money to deal with unanticipated situations or they want to be able to utilize the capital for an comprehensive time period.

It’s a fact that correct share price gives limited capital more competently when new projects are to be financed through a primary market offer, but exactness may also counts for the secondary market, because the price accuracy can be a source of reduction in various costs of management and cam make unreceptive takeover less risky. Moreover the accurateness in share price may help in the efficient allotment of debt finance either in case of debt offerings or institutional borrowing.

“Winning conditions” is a combination of factors to look for when choosing investments. By observing conditions which repeat themselves, your financial advisor may be able to predict results when certain “conditions” are in place. One example; a few years ago a well known mutual fund had an impeccable 10 year performance record. It consistently outperformed the market by over 2%. It was about one billion dollars in size. Within one year it grew to about three billion because everyone started buying it. Past returns attract buyers like dung attracts flies.

Afterwards that fund performed below average for several years. The fund company increased advertising to try to slow the exodus and finally overcame their sudden growth hurdle. It has begun to perform well again after nearly a decade. The success of the fund was its downfall. It attracted deposits way faster than it could find great investment opportunities. It grew way too fast for the managers to be able to continue delivering consistent performance.

This also happened to several other well known funds. This pattern involves some conditions worth watching which go beyond evaluating the stocks that fund holds. There is more to choosing an investment than looking at past performance. When a fund that has been in existence for more than five years triples in size within a year, I would expect it to disappoint investors for about three years.

Oh well, using past history makes for easy sales for advisers who focus on selling and are not so concerned about in depth research. No advice wanted by buyers is sometimes a problem. When you are investing take the time to ask questions, if you don’t your adviser may get the idea you really don’t want to know much about the investment. Deal with an adviser who looks beyond past returns and the content of the fund to estimate the probability of future returns.

The more you read the more you will understand what questions to ask if the material you read is not a regurgitation of what the fund managers and financial gurus are feeding us. Read writers who are original in their thinking and who look at the big picture not just the ones who analyze the individual stocks.

Emotions can get in the way of brains when you try do-it-yourself investment planning. As my mom used to say “a doctor who has himself for a patient has a fool for a doctor”.

Conditions in this decade dictate that equity markets are in for an uncertain ride. Low interest rates tempt investors to consider equity investments. Especially since Last year was such a good year. Personally I am not investing in mutual funds. The investment of my choice is a special type of segregated fund which allows participation in equity markets and also guarantee 5% increase per year for retirement funds.

On the other hand larger amounts of non retirement funds are being placed in bonds or guaranteed short term certificates. I still recommend leaving at least 10% in a daily interest account that pays a high (not real high these days) interest rate. Depending on the style, attitude and risk tolerance level of the investor I might suggest as much as 50% of their portfolio in such open accounts. If they are opportunists there will be many buying opportunities in the next few years.

NOTE: There are no guarantees.

Timeless advice would be; the faster the growth rate in the markets – the quicker we will arrive at the inevitable drop.

The retirement boom was to begin at the end of the last growth spurt. Hopefully the baby boomers had the wisdom to move from equity markets to safer investments with guarantees. Fortunately the new generation of segregated funds with lifetime guarantees allow investors to still participate in the equity investments they are used to, but with guarantees. Many people changed their retirement plans after 2008.

The following is a quote from my article published in the Daily Gleaner newspaper in 1999: “WARNING: UNDERSTAND THE NUMBERS: If $10,000 is invested and grows 30% in one year it becomes $13,000. In year two if it earns 40% it becomes $18,200. In year three the markets soar and it earns 50% to become $27,300. Now comes the drop!

A drop of 60% in the fourth year turns the fund into $10,920. Now $920 is a 2.2% return for a four year period. Low isn’t it? “The market has never stayed down for ten years before in North America” – Of course it didn’t! That is because we never had a retirement boom before in North America! “That was written in 1999. Since then we have seen a ten year negative return period from 1998 to 2008

Still think you do not need segregated fund guarantees? Sag. funds can protect you from such a market drop. Best wishes for good investing this decade. Today, more than ever you need a capable financial advisor.

Hopefully this article will help you to avoid one common mistake in financial planning. There are other articles at http://www.smartchoicelife.com/blog/ While you are on this site go to the home page and check out my e-books some are free all you need do is download them. I have over 30 years experience in banking and financial services industry. Now I like to share his awareness of behind the scenes practices that work to the advantage of banks, investment houses, and big business in general but seldom benefit consumers. In these books and articles I also shares insights into how to improve your financial health and wealth without worry and stress. Give a F R E E ebook to a teenager or young adult. Help them to appreciate the value of money and avoid common financial mistakes. They’ll appreciate it. While you are there check out our unique,awesome financial planning system where you get your own plan done by a professional certified financial planner. Plus you get ongoing personal access to Gordon and coaching for up to one year.

If you purchase a stock, you are becoming a minute stake holder in the company. That means you have a right to get the profits earned by the company. The profit is distributed to you by the way of dividends. The rate of dividend is declared by the company and the amount that you get is directly proportional to the amount of money you invest in the company. Dividends are usually declared as and when the company declares results and makes a profit.

In case of mutual funds, dividends are given as and when the fund house makes a profit. But in this case you have to opt for the dividend option. Or else you will get capital appreciation by virtue of the increase in price of the units given to you.

The first option is dividend payout in a direct method. In this case the dividend gets directly credited to your bank account. This method is useful only if you need a regular flow of cash. But in this case the price of the units are not supposed to grow too much.

The next method is dividend re investment. In this method the amount of dividend is used to purchase new units for you. This is similar completely to the Growth plan and helps in future capital appreciation.

Some fund houses design funds keeping in mind this factor. Money is invested into stocks that yield high dividends. Thus the time and frequency of dividend payout matches the time and frequency of the dividends paid by the companies. Dividends are a major attraction in equity investments and thus help in creation of wealth in a long run.

Suddhadeb Chakraborti.

The source of funding of any project has great importance. This is so as no business deal or venture is possible without finance. Private equity investments are one such source of finance. These funds have assumed great importance and statistics prove that private sources finance new ventures at a gigantic rate, that is almost 25 times more than finances from other sources. Thus private finance givers have turned into excellent investors for new projects.

Private equity investors are investors who have a high net worth and asset value and have liquid cash available. These investors are the back bone of private equity investments. Last year 300,000 firms and enterprises were launched in the USA and nearly one seventh of this lot was financed by these equity investments.

Private equity investors have made a mark in the financial field and they have had a tremendous impact in the entrepreneurial market. It is estimated that that these investors fund anything in a range from $20 – $60 billion annually.

Private investors with money to spare generally keep their money and investments in non-public companies. Thus a equity investor will most likely make an investment for 3 to 7 years, in contrast to venture capitalists who invest in companies at the inception stage or launch and also for much shorter periods

Private equity firms will follow some parameters while making an investment,that will include a strong management team and the company’s ability to bring in profit. They will also look at the growth potential of the company and whether an investor’s capital is safe as well as good return on his capital.He will also look at the exit clauses in case the equity investor wants to get his investment out.

Thus Private equity is never in loss making companies. Private investors are there to get a good return on the money they have invested and as such they will track the profit graph of any company they invest in. The private equity investor will look for agreements that give him a share of the profit generated at the time of exit. This will be an important clause for him as he can use the profit to invest in some other company.

From 2007 onwards the private equity financiers did take a nose dive as the economic scenario had become bleak,but at the turn of the present year the investors are back and have funds to spare as recession is on the way out.

For a startup company, Angel Investors can be considered the entrepreneur’s best friend, their saving grace, their answer to a prayer. Some say they are called “angels” because they are an answer to the entrepreneur’s prayer for money to get their business launched, or to respond to accelerated growth, or to bridge the capital divide and reach profitability.

Angels are the financial fuel of the economy. Before Venture Capitalists get involved, before banks will loan a company an unsecured note; Angel Investors provide the capital that fuels the entrepreneurial spirit and helps inventions become products and ideas become reality. I like to refer to them as Compassionate Capitalists. “Compassionate” because they have figured out that even though they can lose all their money, by providing investment capital to an entrepreneur with passion and purpose to see his or her company succeed, they are providing a hand up, not a hand out, that will fuel the economy by creating jobs and potentially whole markets by bringing innovation to the market. “Capitalists” because they aren’t donating to a charity, they are investing in a risky venture that banks won’t loan to and venture capitalist won’t even look at, with the intent of creating a big return on their investment. High net worth men and women become angel investors to create great wealth, never with the intent to lose money.

Angels are wealthy individuals who provide seed capital and growth capital to companies in the startup and early stage of their company’s life cycle. Their capital can be offered in exchange for equity in the company or as some specialized form of debt facility. Investing in this stage of company is the most risky, but it can also be the most rewarding. Rewards come not just from the financial returns, but also from experiencing the purest form of capitalism…bringing value to the market by supplying a product or service to satisfy a market demand. There is a definite sense of pride and accomplishment from being able to say you were an early investor in a block buster like MicroSoft or Starbucks, and surprisingly, there is little regret from the early stage investors in the near misses like WebVAN and PETS.com because they got their sizeable returns when those companies went public. It was the investors that followed the advice of their stock broker or financial planner to invest when those companies when public that saw a decline in the value of their investment because they bought at “retail” hoping that the value would increase over time. Angel investors buy stock when the company is still private, and reap their rewards with the company then sells that stock to another buyer or to the public stock market. They learned early in life that profit is made when buying at wholesale and selling at retail. That is how it works for the wise angel investor.

Investing or buying Private Equity of early stage companies is one of the secrets the wealthy use to create more wealth. As Robert Kiyosaki wrote in his best seller book, Rich Dad’s Retire Young, Retire Rich on page 127:

“the rich invest in shares of a company when the company is still a private company”.

To become a successful angel investor, it is important that individuals learn how to identify and screen opportunities for early stage private equity investing. In the eBook Series “How to Be an Angel Investor”, investors are taught how to take what they know from investing in public stocks and real estate and apply to making investment decisions about private equity investments. There are a couple of key points from the 5 volume eBook “How to Be an Angel Investor” that beginning angel investors should keep in mind:

1. Make sure you have a variety of investments to choose from. If you only have deals coming from your accountant or the guy you met at a cocktail party, you need to expand your horizons to get better quality deal flow and not be afraid to invest outside of your geography. Join an angel investor group or plan to attend events where multiple pre-screened companies will be presenting for at least 9 minutes. An investor cannot be expected to determine the validity of a business from a 90 second spiel as promoted in the fast pitch events that have become so trendy of late. The situation to avoid is having a desire to be an angel investor or “silent partner” in a deal, so you put money in to a deal that seems OK but in reality it isn’t a good deal. The investor doesn’t know this because he or she hasn’t been exposed to anything better. You buy the bruised apple because it is the only one on the shelf.

2. Make sure there are other investors participating. It’s OK to be the first investor in a deal if you know they have other investors pending, on the fence ready to join in along with you, or you have a group of investors that co-invest together. If you are the first investor in a deal, and you are investing an amount significantly greater than the minimum investment or the full amount to get them to their next milestone that will increase their value, you can sometimes negotiate more favorable terms for yourself. The situation you want to avoid is loving a deal or the entrepreneurs behind it so you throw your money away because no one else invests and it was an insufficient amount of money to get the company to the next level when they would attract other investors or begin to generate revenue.

3. Don’t get hung up on percentages of ownership. The price paid for the stock and the number of shares held is more important than the % of ownership you have because the % will change over time through multiple rounds of financing. Owning 100,000 shares at 50 cents a piece won’t matter if it is 1% or 30% of the company if the company has a reasonable plan to grow their value of the company so that it can be sold for $5 a share, as an example. A $50,000 investment will return to you $450,000. Often a company’s amount of issued and authorized stock will change over time as the company raises capital and the % will go down, but the amount of shares will remain the same and the focus should be on the strike price of the stock at the next interval of financing.

4. Ensure there is a solid barrier to entry from the competition. The barrier to entry comes in many different flavors. Most often it is in the form of a patent and most novice angel investors focus on having a patent. Patents are good but they aren’t the Holy Grail. If a big company, or a foreign company, chooses to violate the patent instead of buying the company, you can hang it up because the court costs alone will put the early stage company out of business. Patents do not prevent clever inventors of figuring out a better way to do the same thing or even just a different way to do the same thing. The filed patent gave them the idea, yet doesn’t keep them from bringing a similar product to market. Trade Secrets can be a great way to go for many products: software, food formulas, processes and so on. If that is the way the company is going, then you must ensure they have done the necessary steps to actually establish it as a trade secret…aka the formula for Coke. Other barriers to entry can be the management team, strategic partnerships, time lag on being first to market, and product pipeline.

5. Be clear on how the ROI will be achieved. When you look at your asset portfolio to see how alternative investments like private equity investment fits in, you can seek ways to “flip your money”, get a steady income, or hold for a big return years down the road. Your investment decision may vary over time depending on the rest of your portfolio and the situation with the company. A “flip” would be a short term note secured with a contract or order, a convertible debenture that gives you the option to collect the $$ or convert to stock, or bridge financing to a larger investment. Steady income may come if you provide royalty financing, investing to receive a % of the revenues until a fixed amount is paid back or investing in an LLC that pays you cash as the company becomes profitable. The big ROI comes when it is straight equity investment with plans for the company to be bought or to go public 4-8 years or more in the future.

Early stage equity acquisition can be great investment opportunities! These investments have the potential to reap big rewards for early investors who have an appetite for the risk and have the liquidity to make the investment. Just ask anybody who invested in Google, Amazon or Home Depot! The bigger the risk, the greater the reward! Success builds confidence! Put your money to work by helping a young company grow. Create wealth for yourself, other investors, and those founders and employees of the early stage company that can then be re-invested again and again.

Author Info: Karen Y. Rands

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